#Romania, Sociopol poll:

Scenario: Georgescu (*) is not running

Presidential election

Simion (AUR-ECR): 24%
Ponta (*-S&D): 22%
Dan (*-RE): 16%
Antonescu (*-S&D|EPP): 14%
Şoșoacă (S.O.S.RO-NI): 14%
Lasconi (USR-RE): 9%


Fieldwork: 27-30 January 2025
Sample size: 1,003

➤ europeelects.eu/romania

UK (GB), BMG Research:

LAB-S&D: 25% (-4)
CON~ECR: 25% (-2)
REFORM~NI: 24% (+4)
LDEM-RE: 14% (+2)
GREENS-G/EFA: 8% (+1)
SNP-G/EFA: 3%
PC-G/EFA: 1% (+1)

+/- vs. 26-27 November 2024

Fieldwork: 28-29 January 2025
Sample size: 1,514

➤ europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom

#Netherlands, Verian poll:

PVV-PfE: 24% (-1)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 16% (-1)
VVD-RE: 14% (-1)
CDA-EPP: 10%
D66-RE: 7%
SP~LEFT: 5% (+1)
PvdD-LEFT: 4%
Volt-G/EFA: 4% (+1)
BBB-EPP: 3%
FvD-ESN: 3%
DENK: 3%
CU-EPP: 2%
SGP-ECR: 2%
NSC-EPP: 2%
JA21-ECR: 2% (+1)
+/- vs. 24-28 December 2024

Fieldwork: 24-27 January 2024
Sample size: 1,556

➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands

#Portugal, Intercampus poll:

AD-EPP|ECR: 28% (-1)
PS-S&D: 28% (-1)
CH-PfE: 17% (+1)
IL-RE: 7% (-1)
BE-LEFT: 6%
L-G/EFA: 4%
CDU-LEFT|G/EFA: 3%
PAN-G/EFA: 3%

+/- vs. 21-27 November 2024

Fieldwork: 21-26 January 2025
Sample size: 638

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

#Portugal, Intercampus poll:

Presidential election

Gouveia e Melo (*): 33% (+9)
Marques Mendes (PSD-EPP): 14% (+4)
Ventura (CH-PfE): 9% (+2)
Vitorino (PS-S&D): 9% (new)
Seguro (PS-S&D): 8% (+3)
Martins (BE-LEFT): 5%
Ferreira (CDU-LEFT|Greens/EFA): 3% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 21-27 November 2024

Fieldwork: 21-26 January 2025
Sample size: 638

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

#Spain, SigmaDos poll:

PP-EPP: 34%
PSOE-S&D: 28% (+1)
VOX-PfE: 13% (+1)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6%
Podemos-LEFT: 5%
SALF-NI: 3%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
Junts-NI: 2%
PNV-RE: 1%
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1%
...

+/- vs. 19-26 December 2024

Fieldwork: 24-31 January 2025
Sample size: 2,303

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Belgium: 239 days after the elections in June 2024, King Philippe has sworn in Bart De Wever (N VA-ECR) as new prime minister. He leads a government of Flemish regionalist N VA (ECR), liberal MR (RE), centrist LE (RE), centre-left Vooruit and centre-right CD&V (EPP), with 82 seats out of the 150 seats in the lower house of parliament.

By Thursday, the new De Wever government will face a confidence vote in parliament.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/belgium

📰 The January issue of our newsletter is now live on our Substack. Read our recap of the Croatian presidential election, as well as news about government formation (and collapse) across the continent.

➤ https://open.substack.com/pub/europeelects/p/europe-elects-newsletter-4c7

#Czechia, STEM poll:

ANO-PfE: 35%
SPOLU-ECR|EPP: 19% (+1)
STAN-EPP: 11%
SPD-ESN: 9%
Piráti-G/EFA: 6% (-1)
Stačilo!-NI: 6% (+1)
Auto-PfE: 4%
SOCDEM-S&D: 3%
Přísaha-PfE: 2%
Zelení-G/EFA: 2%
Svobodní-*: 2%
Pro-*: 1%

+/- vs. 3 - 21 January 2025

Fieldwork: 10 - 28 January 2025
Sample size: 1,549

➤ http://europeelects.eu/czechia

#Croatia, 2x1 komunikacije poll:

HDZ-EPP: 35%
SDP-S&D: 26%
Možemo!-G/EFA: 9%
Most→ECR: 7%
DP~ECR: 4% (+2)
DOMiNO-ECR: 3%
HSU-*: 3%
Centar-RE: 2%
IDS-RE: 2%
HS-ECR: 1%

+/- vs. 15-29 November 2024

Fieldwork: January 2025

➤ europeelects.eu/croatia

📰 The January issue of our newsletter is now live on our Substack. Read our recap of the Croatian presidential election, as well as news about government formation (and collapse) across the continent.

➤ https://open.substack.com/pub/europeelects/p/europe-elects-newsletter-4c7

#Hungary, Publicus poll:

TISZA-EPP: 42%
Fidesz/KDNP-PfE: 37% (+1)
DK-S&D: 9%
MH-ESN: 5%
MKKP→G/EFA: 3%
MSZP-S&D: 2%
Momentum-RE: 1%

+/- vs. 11-17 December 2024

Fieldwork: 20-29 January 2025
Sample size: 3,060

➤ europeelects.eu/hungary

#Norway, InFact poll:

FrP~ECR: 26% (+2)
Ap-S&D: 18% (-2)
H-EPP: 18% (-3)
SV~LEFT: 9% (+2)
Sp~RE: 8% (+2)
V-RE: 5%
R~LEFT: 5% (-1)
MDG-G/EFA: 3%
KrF-EPP: 3%

+/- vs. 6 January 2025

Fieldwork: 30 January 2025
Sample size: 1,172

➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway

#Norway, Opinion poll:

FrP~ECR: 26% (+1)
H-EPP: 22% (+1)
Ap-S&D: 19% (+1)
SV~LEFT: 8% (-1)
Sp~RE: 6% (+1)
R~LEFT: 5% (-1)
KrF-EPP: 4% (-1)
MDG-G/EFA: 3%
V-RE: 3% (-3)

+/- vs. 3-9 December 2024

Fieldwork: 13-20 January 2025
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway

#Austria, Market:

FPÖ-PfE: 34% (-1)
SPÖ-S&D: 22% (+1)
ÖVP-EPP: 19% (+1)
NEOS-RE: 10% (-2)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 9%
KPÖ-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 20-21 January 2025

Fieldwork: 27-28 January 2025
Sample size: 2,000

➤ europeelects.eu/austria

#Spain, 40dB:

PP-EPP: 33%
PSOE-S&D: 28% (-1)
VOX-PfE: 14%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6%
Podemos-LEFT: 3%
SALF-NI: 3%

+/- vs. 20-26 December 2024

Fieldwork: 24-27 January 2025
Sample size: 2,000

➤ europeelects.eu/spain

#Norway, Verian poll:

FrP~ECR: 25% (+1)
Ap-S&D: 20% (-1)
H-EPP: 19% (-5)
Sp~RE: 9% (+3)
SV~LEFT: 8% (+2)
R~LEFT: 6%
V-RE: 4% (+1)
KrF-EPP: 3% (-1)
MDG-G/EFA: 2% (-2)

+/- vs. 6-10 January 2025

Fieldwork: 27-31 January 2025
Sample size: 1,380

➤ http://europeelects.eu/norway

#Portugal, Aximage poll poll:

AD-EPP|ECR: 29% (-1)
PS-S&D: 28% (-1)
CH-PfE: 18%
IL-RE: 6% (-1)
BE-LEFT: 4%
CDU-LEFT|G/EFA: 4% (+1)
L-G/EFA: 4%
PAN-G/EFA: 2%

+/- vs. 13-19 November 2024

Fieldwork: 23-28 January 2025
Sample size: 800

➤ europeelects.eu/portugal

Germany, Forsa poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 28% (-2)
AfD-ESN: 20%
SPD-S&D: 16%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 15% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 5% (+1)
FDP-RE: 4%
BSW-NI: 4% (+1)

+/- vs. 21-27 January 2025

Fieldwork: 28 January-3 February 2025
Sample size: 2,503

➤ europeelects.eu/germany

Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 30%
AfD-ESN: 22%
SPD-S&D: 16% (-1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 13% (+1)
BSW-NI: 6%
FDP-RE: 5% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 5% (+1)

+/- vs. 30-31 January 2025

Fieldwork: 31 January-3 February 2025
Sample size: 2,004

➤ europeelects.eu/germany