U.S. CPI: +3% YEAR-OVER-YEAR (EST. +2.9%)
U.S. CORE CPI: +3.3% YEAR-OVER-YEAR (EST. +3.1%)

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Over the past year, $BTC ETF inflows outpaced the Nasdaq $QQQ stock index by $10B.

Imagine the overall impact on $BTC's price over a 5-10 year period if this level of interest sustains.

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We might not be getting QE anytime soon, but we ARE potentially getting a Treasury General Account drawdown due to the debt ceiling.

This is effectively a form of "stealth QE", as liquidity is injected into the economy.

The last 2 times we had this drawdown, $BTC rallied:

December 2022: +84%
June 2023: +23%

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A whale has spent 9,350 $SOL worth $1.82M to buy 105,923 $TRUMP at a price of $16.50.

The whale previously made ~$2M in $TRUMP and has re-entered $TRUMP due to Upbit listing.

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Your daily injection of BTC hopium.

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Trump’s "big one – reciprocal tariffs" comment triggered a drop in S&P 500 and a spike in the U.S. Dollar Index as markets reacted instantly.

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Trump to announce tariffs at 1 pm.

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Mexico's president threatens lawsuit against Google for renaming Gulf of Mexico to Gulf of America.

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Trump delays tariffs to April 1

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Trump’s World Liberty Finance has acquired $1.4 million worth of $MOVE and $5 million worth of $WBTC.

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The Big Three and Market Trends

The dollar (DXY), yields (US10Y), and oil (USOIL) move together:

Up = risk-off (caution, sell-off)
Down = risk-on (growth, rallies)

Now:

▻US10Y spiked after CPI, but DXY and oil are already trending lower.
▻Extreme dollar positioning could unwind if DXY breaks lower.
▻$100B+ liquidity from mid-Feb to April may weaken DXY, boosting risk assets.

Tracking these signals helps spot market shifts early.


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U.S. January core retail sales fell -0.4% month-over-month, missing the +0.3% estimate (previous: +0.7%). This marks the biggest monthly drop since January 2024.

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China starts the print.

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$BTC looks primed for a breakout, but confirmation is key before the next move.

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The number of Bitcoin holders in America have surpassed the number of Americans with student loans in 2025.

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We just witnessed one of the fastest and largest destructions of wealth in retail trading history.

Argentina’s memecoin, $LIBRA, erased -$4.5 billion of retail capital in 7 hours.

Truly destructive.

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Missed the $LIBRA madness while you were being a good Valentine? Here's the recap:

1) Argentinian President tweets out a token
2) Token rockets to a $4.5bn valuation in 2 hours
3) Insiders pull out $87mn
4) Token crashes 90%
5) President deletes tweet, denies involvement
6) Token dumps another 60%

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