Which day do you choose for trading
Anonymous Poll
36%
Monday
58%
Tuesday
60%
Wednesday
49%
Thursday
38%
Friday
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Forwarded from SM News
FED'S POWELL: There Is No Need to Redefine Price Stability.
FED'S POWELL: It's Not Appropriate to React to One-Time Price Spikes.
FED'S POWELL: It's Still Very Uncertain About What Will Be Tariffed and for How Long.
FED'S POWELL: If This Turns Into a Series of Actions, or if Tariffs Are Larger, or Expectations Start to Move, That Would Influence How the Fed Reacts.
FED'S POWELL: It Is Not Simply What Is Happening With Tariffs, but With Growth and Other Changes to Economic Policy.
FED'S POWELL: The Costs of Being Cautious Are Very, Very Low.
FED'S POWELL: It's Not Appropriate to React to One-Time Price Spikes.
FED'S POWELL: It's Still Very Uncertain About What Will Be Tariffed and for How Long.
FED'S POWELL: If This Turns Into a Series of Actions, or if Tariffs Are Larger, or Expectations Start to Move, That Would Influence How the Fed Reacts.
FED'S POWELL: It Is Not Simply What Is Happening With Tariffs, but With Growth and Other Changes to Economic Policy.
FED'S POWELL: The Costs of Being Cautious Are Very, Very Low.
The release of unemployment rate and non-farm payroll (NFP) data is a major economic event that can significantly impact financial markets. Here's a breakdown of how markets typically react:
Key Concepts:
* Non-Farm Payroll (NFP):
* This measures the number of jobs added or lost in the U.S. economy, excluding farm workers. It's a key indicator of economic health.
* Unemployment Rate:
* This measures the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed. It also reflects the overall health of the economy.
Market Reactions:
* Stock Market:
* Strong NFP/Low Unemployment:
* Can be a mixed bag. A strong labor market can signal a healthy economy, which is generally positive. However, it can also raise concerns about inflation and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, which can negatively impact stocks.
* Recently, strong employment data has caused some negative reactions, as it signals that the fed may hold rates higher for longer.
* Weak NFP/High Unemployment:
* Generally negative, as it signals a slowing economy. However, it can also lead to expectations of lower interest rates, which can provide some support to stocks.
* Bond Market:
* Strong NFP/Low Unemployment:
* Typically leads to a sell-off in bonds, pushing yields higher, as investors anticipate higher inflation and interest rates.
* Weak NFP/High Unemployment:
* Typically leads to a rally in bonds, pushing yields lower, as investors seek safe-haven assets and anticipate lower interest rates.
* Currency Market (Forex):
* Strong NFP/Low Unemployment:
* Generally strengthens the U.S. dollar, as it signals a healthy economy and potential for higher interest rates.
* Weak NFP/High Unemployment:
* Generally weakens the U.S. dollar, as it signals a slowing economy and potential for lower interest rates.
* Factors influencing the reactions:
* Expectations:
* Market reactions are often driven by how the actual data compares to expectations. If the data is significantly different from what was expected, the reactions can be more pronounced.
* Federal Reserve Policy:
* The Federal Reserve's response to the data is crucial. If the Fed signals that it will tighten monetary policy in response to strong data, or loosen policy in response to weak data, the market reactions will be amplified.
* Overall Economic Conditions:
* The current state of the overall economy will also greatly influence the markets reactions.
In Summary:
The release of unemployment and NFP data is a highly anticipated event that can cause significant market volatility. The direction and magnitude of market reactions depend on a complex interplay of factors, including the strength of the data, market expectations, and Federal Reserve policy.
Key Concepts:
* Non-Farm Payroll (NFP):
* This measures the number of jobs added or lost in the U.S. economy, excluding farm workers. It's a key indicator of economic health.
* Unemployment Rate:
* This measures the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed. It also reflects the overall health of the economy.
Market Reactions:
* Stock Market:
* Strong NFP/Low Unemployment:
* Can be a mixed bag. A strong labor market can signal a healthy economy, which is generally positive. However, it can also raise concerns about inflation and potential interest rate hikes by the Federal Reserve, which can negatively impact stocks.
* Recently, strong employment data has caused some negative reactions, as it signals that the fed may hold rates higher for longer.
* Weak NFP/High Unemployment:
* Generally negative, as it signals a slowing economy. However, it can also lead to expectations of lower interest rates, which can provide some support to stocks.
* Bond Market:
* Strong NFP/Low Unemployment:
* Typically leads to a sell-off in bonds, pushing yields higher, as investors anticipate higher inflation and interest rates.
* Weak NFP/High Unemployment:
* Typically leads to a rally in bonds, pushing yields lower, as investors seek safe-haven assets and anticipate lower interest rates.
* Currency Market (Forex):
* Strong NFP/Low Unemployment:
* Generally strengthens the U.S. dollar, as it signals a healthy economy and potential for higher interest rates.
* Weak NFP/High Unemployment:
* Generally weakens the U.S. dollar, as it signals a slowing economy and potential for lower interest rates.
* Factors influencing the reactions:
* Expectations:
* Market reactions are often driven by how the actual data compares to expectations. If the data is significantly different from what was expected, the reactions can be more pronounced.
* Federal Reserve Policy:
* The Federal Reserve's response to the data is crucial. If the Fed signals that it will tighten monetary policy in response to strong data, or loosen policy in response to weak data, the market reactions will be amplified.
* Overall Economic Conditions:
* The current state of the overall economy will also greatly influence the markets reactions.
In Summary:
The release of unemployment and NFP data is a highly anticipated event that can cause significant market volatility. The direction and magnitude of market reactions depend on a complex interplay of factors, including the strength of the data, market expectations, and Federal Reserve policy.
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📉 Why Did Stocks and Cryptos Crash? When to Expect a Rebound?
📌 Causes of the Market Crash
Between March 7-10, 2025, markets plummeted:
🔻 Tesla -15%, Apple -4.9%, Nvidia -5.1%, Nasdaq 100 -4%
🔻 Bitcoin -15% down to $77,500
Key factors:
▪️ US trade wars with China, Mexico, and Canada
▪️ Disappointment in crypto regulations
▪️ Recession fears
📈 Growth Factors
🔹 AI and tech development (#Microsoft, #Google)
🔹 Biotech and pharmaceuticals
🔹 Green energy expansion (#Tesla)
🔹 Fed policy stabilization
🔹 Institutional crypto investments (#Visa, #PayPal)
📌 Causes of the Market Crash
Between March 7-10, 2025, markets plummeted:
🔻 Tesla -15%, Apple -4.9%, Nvidia -5.1%, Nasdaq 100 -4%
🔻 Bitcoin -15% down to $77,500
Key factors:
▪️ US trade wars with China, Mexico, and Canada
▪️ Disappointment in crypto regulations
▪️ Recession fears
📈 Growth Factors
🔹 AI and tech development (#Microsoft, #Google)
🔹 Biotech and pharmaceuticals
🔹 Green energy expansion (#Tesla)
🔹 Fed policy stabilization
🔹 Institutional crypto investments (#Visa, #PayPal)
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Learn trading | Forex!
What if we sell USDJPY🤔
And make our tp around 149.600😅
Have you Seen the Gap on US30,👀 The market will back to that area so So look for sell entry now and make your TP on that Gap
Learn trading | Forex!
Have you Seen the Gap on US30,👀 The market will back to that area so So look for sell entry now and make your TP on that Gap
Perfect analysis 💸 💸
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Learn trading | Forex!
Are you__ trader ?
Many of you are beginner so i recommend you not to trade XAUUSD (Gold)
I'm going set buy limit on USDJPY around 150.150 because the market going from Consolidation to manipulation so if i'm right we well be the part of distribution
TP on 150.672
SL around 149.875
If you are going to take this trade make sure you use your own risk management🙌
TP on 150.672
SL around 149.875
If you are going to take this trade make sure you use your own risk management🙌
Learn trading | Forex!
I'm going set buy limit on USDJPY around 150.150 because the market going from Consolidation to manipulation so if i'm right we well be the part of distribution TP on 150.672 SL around 149.875 If you are going to take this trade make sure you use your…
The market goes UP🔼 without touching my entry🙃
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These days the market is acting unpredictable, there are some reasons that cause these unpredictability i'll post some of them
Learn trading | Forex!
These days the market is acting unpredictable, there are some reasons that cause these unpredictability i'll post some of them
Global economic factors:- Currency values are closely linked to how well countries are doing economically. Important factors like GDP growth, inflation, and unemployment rates affect exchange rates. Additionally, when central banks change interest rates, it can lead to significant changes in the market.
And trump tariffs 😒
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