Official world gold reserves have reached 1,170 million fine troy ounces, the most since the 1970s
Over the last 13 years, world central banks' gold holdings are up roughly 21%. Global gold reserves are now even higher than just before President Nixon broke the US Dollar's link to gold in 1971. In 2022 and 2023 alone, world central banks bought 1081 and 1037 tons of gold, respectively. Meanwhile, gold is up 15% year to date and 85% over the last 5 years. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
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Over the last 13 years, world central banks' gold holdings are up roughly 21%. Global gold reserves are now even higher than just before President Nixon broke the US Dollar's link to gold in 1971. In 2022 and 2023 alone, world central banks bought 1081 and 1037 tons of gold, respectively. Meanwhile, gold is up 15% year to date and 85% over the last 5 years. Source: The Kobeissi Letter
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DXY index
This index usually has a direct relationship with the interest rate and an inverse relationship with the price of gold and EURUSD. From this chart, it can be said that there is little expectation of a further reduction in the interest rate in the next Fed meeting.
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This index usually has a direct relationship with the interest rate and an inverse relationship with the price of gold and EURUSD. From this chart, it can be said that there is little expectation of a further reduction in the interest rate in the next Fed meeting.
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This is a massive investment chart!
Gold has now outperformed bonds over the past 50 years.
This means that, apart from ballooning debt and central bank balance sheets, the output of traditional mean-variance optimization models will change. Many, if not most, traditional investors consider these models the most straightforward and objective way to determine a strategic asset allocation. Hence, based on the output of these models, traditional investors must move away from bonds and into gold. This is part of 'The Great Rebalancing,' shaping portfolio allocations in the coming years.
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Gold has now outperformed bonds over the past 50 years.
This means that, apart from ballooning debt and central bank balance sheets, the output of traditional mean-variance optimization models will change. Many, if not most, traditional investors consider these models the most straightforward and objective way to determine a strategic asset allocation. Hence, based on the output of these models, traditional investors must move away from bonds and into gold. This is part of 'The Great Rebalancing,' shaping portfolio allocations in the coming years.
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The average Bitcoin cycle:
Starts 170 days after halving
Peaks 480 days after halving
We are currently 147 days after the $BTC halving
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Starts 170 days after halving
Peaks 480 days after halving
We are currently 147 days after the $BTC halving
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How Inflation Breaks Our Brains
From salt riots to toilet paper runs, history shows that rising prices make consumers—and voters—grumpy and irrational.
Eric Boehm | From the October 2024 issue
When Russian peasants set fire to hundreds of buildings in Moscow in 1648, the acute cause was a sharp rise in the price of salt. When they rioted again 12 years later, it was to protest a government policy that made copper money equal in value to coins made from silver—a policy that naturally caused widespread price inflation.
An increase in the price of bread, and an inept government response to it, helped set the French Revolution on its bloody course.
Periodic violence targeting Jews and other minority groups throughout European history has been linked to inflation and other sources of economic instability. The most infamous and horrific of those incidents, of course, began as an attempt to scapegoat Jews for the spike in inflation that plagued Germany in the wake of World War I. American history, too, is littered with panics, riots, and upheaval caused by sudden rises in prices and the public's perception that they are being ripped off. In the early days of the American experiment, indebted Massachusetts farmers took up arms against the new federal government's monetary policies. Two centuries later, dozens of farmers drove their tractors to the front door of the Federal Reserve in downtown D.C. to protest rising costs.
It may be tempting to dismiss the unsettling history that links high inflation with political unrest and aggressive xenophobia. Americans living today are the richest cohort of human beings ever to inhabit the planet. Surely we're not as susceptible to the psychological effects of inflation as our forebears, for whom a spike in the price of basic goods might be a matter of life and death?
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From salt riots to toilet paper runs, history shows that rising prices make consumers—and voters—grumpy and irrational.
Eric Boehm | From the October 2024 issue
When Russian peasants set fire to hundreds of buildings in Moscow in 1648, the acute cause was a sharp rise in the price of salt. When they rioted again 12 years later, it was to protest a government policy that made copper money equal in value to coins made from silver—a policy that naturally caused widespread price inflation.
An increase in the price of bread, and an inept government response to it, helped set the French Revolution on its bloody course.
Periodic violence targeting Jews and other minority groups throughout European history has been linked to inflation and other sources of economic instability. The most infamous and horrific of those incidents, of course, began as an attempt to scapegoat Jews for the spike in inflation that plagued Germany in the wake of World War I. American history, too, is littered with panics, riots, and upheaval caused by sudden rises in prices and the public's perception that they are being ripped off. In the early days of the American experiment, indebted Massachusetts farmers took up arms against the new federal government's monetary policies. Two centuries later, dozens of farmers drove their tractors to the front door of the Federal Reserve in downtown D.C. to protest rising costs.
It may be tempting to dismiss the unsettling history that links high inflation with political unrest and aggressive xenophobia. Americans living today are the richest cohort of human beings ever to inhabit the planet. Surely we're not as susceptible to the psychological effects of inflation as our forebears, for whom a spike in the price of basic goods might be a matter of life and death?
Link
@The_Economist_Telegram
Telegraph
How inflation breaks our brains
When Russian peasants set fire to hundreds of buildings in Moscow in 1648, the acute cause was a sharp rise in the price of salt. When they rioted again 12 years later, it was to protest a government policy that made copper money equal in value to coins made…
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PAWS
Leave a footprint, grab PAWS — it's that simple, fam!
Every year, Max Bazerman, a Harvard Business School professor runs the exact same experiment with his students. In short form, he auctions off a $20 bill but places strict rules on how the betting can take place regulating who pays, and who wins ...
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Telegraph
Can you sell a $20 Bill for $200? | INOMICS
Every year, Max Bazerman, a Harvard Business School professor runs the exact same experiment with his students. In short form, he auctions off a $20 bill but places strict rules on how the betting can take place regulating who pays, and who wins. The big…
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The Economist
The American economy has left other rich countries in the dust
Expect that to continue, argue Simon Rabinovitch and Henry Curr
Jul 10th 2024
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The Economist
A short history of Taiwan and China, in maps
The Chinese Communist Party’s obsession with the island is about more than just territory
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Telegraph
A short history of Taiwan and China, in maps
The Chinese Communist Party’s obsession with the island is about more than just territory Jul 10th 2024 JUST 12 STATES recognise Taiwan’s government. Others all have relations with the Chinese government in Beijing, and so at least tacitly accept its argument…
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The Economist
An American purchase of Greenland could be the deal of the century
The economics of buying new territory