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In Lebanon, preparations are continuing for Nasrallah's expected funeral ceremony in Dahieh, Beirut (a date has not yet been set), but the site and the format are already emerging.
Abu Ali Express in English
Gazan operative Ahmed Abu a-Rous was all excited ahead of the ceasefire announcement and told his followers: We are now in the last moments... (He meant before the ceasefire - AA) He was not wrong in his phrasing.. A few minutes after recording this piece…
Remember the operative Ahmed Abu a-Rus👆 who documented his last moments in the car yesterday before being eliminated along with his brother Muhammad Abu a-Rus?

It turns out that the brother, Muhammad (circled) was a Nukhba operative who participated in the events of October 7th.
Here is the report from the IDF spokesperson on the matter:

Overnight, with the direction of IDF and ISA intelligence, the IAF struck and eliminated Muhammad Hasham Zahedi Abu Al-Rus, a Nukhba terrorist who infiltrated into Israel on October 7th, 2023, and participated in the massacre at the Nova Music Festival.
Abu Ali Express in English
This is not marketing content (but it certainly could have been): "Mom, why do I need to learn English?" "Here, son, look how Masoud the Gazan makes a good living from digital begging." To comment, follow this link
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Digital begging, continued 👆:
Another taste from Masoud, the daredevil on TikTok, who once again promises that this is his last video... because he's tired.

Pay attention to the effects this time: gunshot noises in the background, strange faces, and ammo casing for illustration...

A craftsman. He is paid for his acting skills.
Still at a rate of a little less than a thousand dollars a day...
He probably doesn't want a ceasefire...
The Palestinians report the release from Israeli prison after 15 months of Sheikh Mujahid Nofal, a resident of Qalqilya.

Now, after shedding extra pounds, he looks much happier... What a smile...

He probably sang to his wife: Without you, I'm half a man.
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Shu'fat RC, northeast Jerusalem: Distribution of sweets with Hamas flags on the occasion of the declaration of the ceasefire.
Ceasefire agreement with Hamas: Hamas still controls the Gaza Strip. What next?

It is clear to all of us that Israel agreed to sign a ceasefire agreement with Hamas, while Hamas is still on its feet, still controls the Strip, and can still sooner or later pose a threat to the State of Israel.
It is true that its military array and its arsenal of armed men, which threaten Israel, have been dramatically reduced, but it is still the dominant and leading force in the Strip.

Israel cannot afford to put up with such a situation, neither from an immediate security perspective nor in terms of deterrence and visibility in the Middle East.

This is not a good ending point- it is even a bad ending point.

I see a lot of discussion on social media about whether Israel won or lost in the Gaza Strip.

If we look for a moment at the northern arena, many more Israelis believe (and not just Israelis) that Israel has clearly defeated Hezbollah.

At the same time, Hezbollah still possesses a threatening and significant military arsenal at this stage, significantly larger than that of Hamas.
Israel has eliminated many senior figures, including the most senior, from both Hezbollah and Hamas. And yet the opinion is that Israel clearly defeated Hezbollah, which is not the case when discussing Israel's campaign against Hamas.

Some reasons for this:
1. Hamas still controls the Gaza Strip.
2. Hamas still holds Israeli hostages.
3. Hamas is the one that carried out the most horrific massacre and is the one that initiated the opening blow of the most extensive war in the history of the State of Israel.

Reasons 2 and 3 also contain a very strong emotional effect. Hamas must be punished to the end and much more than others.
Section 1 concerns the future of the Strip and its relations with Israel and is very significant when examining the full range of considerations in a practical, cold mannar.

From the events of the past 24 hours, it appears that the Israeli government has decided to pursue a deal to release the hostages, in which the return of the hostages would be done in stages.

In the first phase of the deal, which will last 42 days, approximately 33 Israeli hostages will be released from Gaza in exchange for the release of hundreds of terrorists serving life sentences for murdering Israelis, along with the release of more than a thousand terrorists and detainees who are not sentenced to life sentences.
This is a very heavy price. Based on past experience, the meaning of such a release is an intensification of terrorism that will claim Israeli lives and may encourage other kidnappings in the future.

A moral question arises here, and it's hard for me to decide: whose blood is redder? That of the kidnapped or that of those who, God forbid, will be harmed by those murderers who are released?
I will not decide the issue. I do not feel I have the right to even express an opinion on the matter.

In my view, the central issue here is the continuation/non-continuation of Hamas rule in the Gaza Strip. I have written over the past year that Israel should agree at any stage to a cessation of hostilities if all the abductees are returned in parallel with Hamas' agreement to expel its people from the Gaza Strip.

I still think so. Removing Hamas from the Gaza Strip and toppling/ending its rule in the Gaza Strip is a necessary achievement without which it is impossible to say that Israel has won.

Therefore, at this stage, it is too early to form an opinion on whether Israel won or lost, in my opinion.

If, at the end of implementing Phase A of the deal, on the 42nd day, Israel moves on to implementing Phase B of the deal, which means ending the fighting, without Hamas' rule in the Gaza Strip having come to an end, then it will not be possible to say that Israel won the war.
I do not think, at least now, that it is realistic that Hamas will voluntarily vacate the throne of power in the Gaza Strip during the 42 days of the first phase, and therefore Israel will be forced to return to fighting to achieve this goal - which, as mentioned, has an important immediate value from a security perspective and also an additional important value: deterring others from committing a similar act in the future.

The price Hamas must pay is clear: it must lose the Strip. From Israel's perspective, this is a must. Not a luxury. The payment for a complete cessation of fighting without this achievement will come with compound interest.
And not just from the Strip.
The work is not finished in Gaza. The central goal has not yet been achieved. Israeli victory will only come if Hamas rule is eradicated from the Strip.
This is also true for the Houthis in Yemen.
Do you think Israel will return to fighting in Gaza after the first phase of the ceasefire (42 days)?
Anonymous Poll
68%
Yes
16%
No
16%
Don't know
Houthi leader:
106 killed and 328 wounded were sacrificed by the Yemeni people in the support system in Gaza.
Senior Hamas official, Bassem Naim:

All problems related to the ceasefire agreement have been resolved in recent hours.
Netanyahu has no chance to evade.
Ben-Gvir's resignation is the beginning of the political collapse in Israel.
From Amit Segal:

Ben Gvir: If the deal goes through, we will resign from the government

If the war resumes - we will return
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Palestinian channels reported an Israeli attack about an hour ago in the area of ​​the "al-Akabar" vacation house in western Deir al-Balah in the central Gaza Strip.
Unofficial Lebanese sources: Nasrallah's funeral is expected to be held on February 16, which is the anniversary of the assassination of Abbas Mousawi, Hezbollah Secretary-General who preceded Nasrallah.
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Palestinian channels:

📹 قوات الاحتلال تفجّر عددًا كبيرًا من المنازل في بلدة عيتا الشعب جنوبي لبنان

Translation: The occupation forces blew up a large number of houses in the village of Ayta ash-Shaab in southern Lebanon (near the border with Israel).
Abu Ali Express in English pinned «Do you think Israel will return to fighting in Gaza after the first phase of the ceasefire (42 days)?»
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Ethiopia, near the border with Eritrea: The lava river of the active volcano Arta Ela, as recorded yesterday.
Abu Ali Express in English pinned «Do you think Israel will return to fighting in Gaza after the first phase of the ceasefire (42 days)?»
2025/01/17 02:56:57
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