🇺🇸#vix #stocks #us #seasonality
historically, volatility in U.S. stocks tends to increase significantly during the first three months of the year.
historically, volatility in U.S. stocks tends to increase significantly during the first three months of the year.
🪙#silver #forecast
silver market deficit expected to persist, potentially driving metal prices higher – BofA report*
#opinion for many years, the world's central banks have not considered silver as a reserve metal, unlike gold, due to its high volatility and significant storage costs. However, if central banks were to allocate even 1% of their reserves to the purchase of silver, global silver consumption could increase fivefold, acting as a powerful driver of silver price growth.
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👉 *exclusively for subscribers of 'Scorpi18 Investment Adviser' on the 'Forever' tariff plan.
silver market deficit expected to persist, potentially driving metal prices higher – BofA report*
#opinion for many years, the world's central banks have not considered silver as a reserve metal, unlike gold, due to its high volatility and significant storage costs. However, if central banks were to allocate even 1% of their reserves to the purchase of silver, global silver consumption could increase fivefold, acting as a powerful driver of silver price growth.
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⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #warning #macro #bubble
Crescat: the ratio of the Nasdaq 100 to the M2 money supply has reached the level seen at the peak of the dot-com bubble in 2000.
UBS: the stock market is not yet in a bubble — but it’s getting closer, and six out of seven conditions for one have already been met.
Stifel believes the U.S. stock market is at the peak of a bubble and that it will burst in 2025 (chart)
Crescat: the ratio of the Nasdaq 100 to the M2 money supply has reached the level seen at the peak of the dot-com bubble in 2000.
UBS: the stock market is not yet in a bubble — but it’s getting closer, and six out of seven conditions for one have already been met.
Stifel believes the U.S. stock market is at the peak of a bubble and that it will burst in 2025 (chart)
🇺🇸#monetarypolicy #us #inflation #macro
сorrelation between Fed interest rates and changes in employment and inflation.
Presently, the Fed's monetary policy is considered highly restrictive (indicated by a red dot), suggesting that a reduction of at least 250 basis points may be necessary before monetary policy becomes neutral.
сorrelation between Fed interest rates and changes in employment and inflation.
Presently, the Fed's monetary policy is considered highly restrictive (indicated by a red dot), suggesting that a reduction of at least 250 basis points may be necessary before monetary policy becomes neutral.
🪙#silver #macro
BofA: traders are currently converting silver futures positions into physical silver at a record pace.
This can be driven by various market factors, such as supply constraints, higher demand for physical assets, or expectations of price volatility.
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There is a shortage in the silver market (chart)
BofA: traders are currently converting silver futures positions into physical silver at a record pace.
This can be driven by various market factors, such as supply constraints, higher demand for physical assets, or expectations of price volatility.
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There is a shortage in the silver market (chart)
Forwarded from Scorpi18 | Investment Adviser
🪙#silver #short #etf
Bloomberg: short interest in the largest silver ETF, #SLV, is once again approaching historic highs.
The last time it was at these levels, silver prices rallied.
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BofA: traders are currently converting silver futures positions into physical silver at a record pace (chart)
There is a shortage in the silver market (chart)
Bloomberg: short interest in the largest silver ETF, #SLV, is once again approaching historic highs.
The last time it was at these levels, silver prices rallied.
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BofA: traders are currently converting silver futures positions into physical silver at a record pace (chart)
There is a shortage in the silver market (chart)
❗️🌎#metals #forecast
BofA: by 2030, the world is expected to face a structural deficit in many industrial metals.
Increased dependence on critical minerals requires recycling and new capacity expansion to avoid projected structural deficits in several minerals #capex #recycling
BofA: by 2030, the world is expected to face a structural deficit in many industrial metals.
Increased dependence on critical minerals requires recycling and new capacity expansion to avoid projected structural deficits in several minerals #capex #recycling
🇰🇷#skorea #stocks #earningsseason #forecast
HSBC forecasts incredible earnings growth for South Korea's listed companies in 2025.
Corporate profits are expected to grow in all major Asian markets, but will begin to slow in the US. The situation will be worst in Europe, where corporate profits will decline. #us #europe
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HSBC forecasts incredible earnings growth for South Korea's listed companies in 2025.
Corporate profits are expected to grow in all major Asian markets, but will begin to slow in the US. The situation will be worst in Europe, where corporate profits will decline. #us #europe
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⚠️🇺🇸#stocks #us #tech #bubble #macro #warning
сomparison of "Enterprise Value as % of US GDP" for the "Magnificent Seven" stocks today and the ten largest stocks during the dotcom bubble.
"Magnificent Seven" stocks today = 62.5% of GDP
10 largest stocks during the dotcom bubble = 30% of GDP
More and more—and more and more—signals are coming in that the U.S. stock market is overheated.
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сomparison of "Enterprise Value as % of US GDP" for the "Magnificent Seven" stocks today and the ten largest stocks during the dotcom bubble.
"Magnificent Seven" stocks today = 62.5% of GDP
10 largest stocks during the dotcom bubble = 30% of GDP
More and more—and more and more—signals are coming in that the U.S. stock market is overheated.
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🛢🇪🇺#gas #oil #europe #oilrefining
BBG: against the backdrop of rising gas prices in Europe, the use of oil for industrial purposes is becoming more cost-effective than gas. We have already seen increased gas-to-fuel oil switching and gas-to-gasoil is next.
Europe and Asia will all lean towards consuming more oil and more coal if they in any way can do so #coal #asia
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BBG: against the backdrop of rising gas prices in Europe, the use of oil for industrial purposes is becoming more cost-effective than gas. We have already seen increased gas-to-fuel oil switching and gas-to-gasoil is next.
Europe and Asia will all lean towards consuming more oil and more coal if they in any way can do so #coal #asia
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✴️#BTC #crypto
BCA Research: сurrently, 90% of the total Bitcoin supply is in profit, which has historically signaled peaks in Bitcoin prices — research
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BCA Research: сurrently, 90% of the total Bitcoin supply is in profit, which has historically signaled peaks in Bitcoin prices — research
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🌎#recession #world #economy
NRD: the probability of a global recession is close to zero. The global economy has solid and improving momentum, which bodes well for global equities.
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NRD: the probability of a global recession is close to zero. The global economy has solid and improving momentum, which bodes well for global equities.
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🛢#oil #seasonality
February is historically the month when oil prices hit their annual lows.
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February is historically the month when oil prices hit their annual lows.
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- WEEK: +1%
- MONTH: +4%
- YEAR: +39%
- SINCE 2014: +718%
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