#Germany, Verian poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 28% (+2)
AfD-ESN: 23%
SPD-S&D: 15%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12%
LINKE-LEFT: 10% (-1)
BSW-NI: 4%
FDP-RE: 3%
+/- vs. 14-20 May 2025
Fieldwork: 11-17 June 2025
Sample size: 1462
➤ europeelects.eu/germany
CDU/CSU-EPP: 28% (+2)
AfD-ESN: 23%
SPD-S&D: 15%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12%
LINKE-LEFT: 10% (-1)
BSW-NI: 4%
FDP-RE: 3%
+/- vs. 14-20 May 2025
Fieldwork: 11-17 June 2025
Sample size: 1462
➤ europeelects.eu/germany
#Greece, Opinion Poll poll:
ND-EPP: 31% (+1)
PE-NI: 16%
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 14% (+1)
EL-ECR: 10%
KKE-NI: 8%
SYRIZA-LEFT: 6%
KD-RE: 3%
Niki-NI: 3%
MeRA25~LEFT: 3% (+1)
FL-PfE: 2% (-1)
NA~LEFT: 1% (-1)
Spartiates-*: 1%
+/- vs. 19-21 May 2025
Fieldwork: 02-05 June 2025
Sample size: 1,002
➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece
ND-EPP: 31% (+1)
PE-NI: 16%
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 14% (+1)
EL-ECR: 10%
KKE-NI: 8%
SYRIZA-LEFT: 6%
KD-RE: 3%
Niki-NI: 3%
MeRA25~LEFT: 3% (+1)
FL-PfE: 2% (-1)
NA~LEFT: 1% (-1)
Spartiates-*: 1%
+/- vs. 19-21 May 2025
Fieldwork: 02-05 June 2025
Sample size: 1,002
➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece
#Greece, Interview poll:
ND-EPP: 28% (-1)
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 14% (-1)
EL-ECR: 10% (+1)
PE-NI: 10%
KKE-NI: 8%
SYRIZA-LEFT: 4% (-1)
KD-RE: 4%
MeRA25~LEFT: 4%
FL-PfE: 3% (-1)
Niki-NI: 3% (-1)
NA~LEFT: 2% (+1)
Spartiates-*: 2% (+1)
+/- vs. 21-26 May 2025
Fieldwork: 04-09 June 2025
Sample size: 1,825
➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece
ND-EPP: 28% (-1)
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 14% (-1)
EL-ECR: 10% (+1)
PE-NI: 10%
KKE-NI: 8%
SYRIZA-LEFT: 4% (-1)
KD-RE: 4%
MeRA25~LEFT: 4%
FL-PfE: 3% (-1)
Niki-NI: 3% (-1)
NA~LEFT: 2% (+1)
Spartiates-*: 2% (+1)
+/- vs. 21-26 May 2025
Fieldwork: 04-09 June 2025
Sample size: 1,825
➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece
#Greece, GPO poll:
ND-EPP: 30%
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 15% (+1)
PE-NI: 15%
EL-ECR: 11%
KKE-NI: 8% (-1)
SYRIZA-LEFT: 6% (-1)
FL-PfE: 3%
KD-RE: 3%
Niki-NI: 3% (+1)
NA~LEFT: 2% (+1)
MeRA25~LEFT: 1% (-1)
+/- vs. 30 May - 03 June 2025
Fieldwork: 10-13 June 2025
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece
ND-EPP: 30%
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 15% (+1)
PE-NI: 15%
EL-ECR: 11%
KKE-NI: 8% (-1)
SYRIZA-LEFT: 6% (-1)
FL-PfE: 3%
KD-RE: 3%
Niki-NI: 3% (+1)
NA~LEFT: 2% (+1)
MeRA25~LEFT: 1% (-1)
+/- vs. 30 May - 03 June 2025
Fieldwork: 10-13 June 2025
Sample size: 1,000
➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece
#Greece, Alco poll:
ND-EPP: 30% (+1)
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 13% (+1)
PE-NI: 12% (-1)
EL-ECR: 10%
KKE-NI: 9%
SYRIZA-LEFT: 6% (-2)
MeRA25~LEFT: 3%
FL-PfE: 3% (-1)
Niki-NI: 3%
KD-RE: 3%
NA~LEFT: 2% (+1)
+/- vs. 29 May - 03 June 2025
Fieldwork: 10-14 June 2025
Sample size: 1,001
➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece
ND-EPP: 30% (+1)
PASOK KINAL-S&D: 13% (+1)
PE-NI: 12% (-1)
EL-ECR: 10%
KKE-NI: 9%
SYRIZA-LEFT: 6% (-2)
MeRA25~LEFT: 3%
FL-PfE: 3% (-1)
Niki-NI: 3%
KD-RE: 3%
NA~LEFT: 2% (+1)
+/- vs. 29 May - 03 June 2025
Fieldwork: 10-14 June 2025
Sample size: 1,001
➤ https://europeelects.eu/greece
UK, Ipsos poll:
REFORM~NI: 34% (+20)
LAB-S&D: 25% (-9)
CON~ECR: 15% (-9)
LDEM-RE: 11% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 9% (+2)
+/- vs. 2024 election
Fieldwork: 30 May - 04 June 2025
Sample size: 1,180
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom
REFORM~NI: 34% (+20)
LAB-S&D: 25% (-9)
CON~ECR: 15% (-9)
LDEM-RE: 11% (-1)
GREENS-G/EFA: 9% (+2)
+/- vs. 2024 election
Fieldwork: 30 May - 04 June 2025
Sample size: 1,180
➤ europeelects.eu/uk
#UnitedKingdom
#Belarus: Former presidential candidate Siarhei Tsikhanouski (*) has been released from prison. His arrest in 2020 led to his wife, Sviatlana Tsikhanouskaya (*), becoming the lead opposition candidate against incumbent Alâksándr Lukašenka (*) and eventually to the 2020 post-election protests in Belarus.
Tsikhanouskaya (*) is widely recognized outside of Belarus to have won the 2020 presidential election and has been in exile since. Her husband, Tsikhanouski, had been kept incommunicado since his 2020 imprisonment, and his wife had publicly questioned if he was still alive. There are still at least 1186 political prisoners in Belarus, according to human rights group Viasna.
According to a leaked 2023 recording of the Deputy Minister of Internal Affairs Mìkalaj Karpânkoǔ, at least 350,000 Belarusians have fled the country since 2020 — although the true number may be several times higher.
Belarus is the lowest-rated European country on V-Dem's Electoral Democracy Index scale, with a score of 0.16 out of 1 and ranking below Russia (0.17) and Azerbaijan (0.17).
➤ https://europeelects.eu/belarus/
Tsikhanouskaya (*) is widely recognized outside of Belarus to have won the 2020 presidential election and has been in exile since. Her husband, Tsikhanouski, had been kept incommunicado since his 2020 imprisonment, and his wife had publicly questioned if he was still alive. There are still at least 1186 political prisoners in Belarus, according to human rights group Viasna.
According to a leaked 2023 recording of the Deputy Minister of Internal Affairs Mìkalaj Karpânkoǔ, at least 350,000 Belarusians have fled the country since 2020 — although the true number may be several times higher.
Belarus is the lowest-rated European country on V-Dem's Electoral Democracy Index scale, with a score of 0.16 out of 1 and ranking below Russia (0.17) and Azerbaijan (0.17).
➤ https://europeelects.eu/belarus/
Europe Elects
Belarus - Europe Elects
Note: the flag of Belarus has been in a state of dispute since 1995, when it was changed after a questionable referendum from the white-red-white flag pictured left.…
#Netherlands, Peil poll:
Seat projection
PVV-PfE: 30 (-1)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 29 (-1)
VVD-RE: 22 (-2)
CDA-EPP: 21 (+2)
D66-RE: 8
JA21~ECR: 8 (+3)
SP-LEFT: 7
DENK-*: 4
PvdD-LEFT: 4
FvD-ESN: 4
SGP-ECR: 4
BBB-EPP: 3 (+1)
CU-EPP: 3
Volt-G/EFA: 3 (-1)
NSC-EPP: 0 (-1)
+/- vs. 6-7 June 2025
Fieldwork: 20-21 June 2025
➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands
Seat projection
PVV-PfE: 30 (-1)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 29 (-1)
VVD-RE: 22 (-2)
CDA-EPP: 21 (+2)
D66-RE: 8
JA21~ECR: 8 (+3)
SP-LEFT: 7
DENK-*: 4
PvdD-LEFT: 4
FvD-ESN: 4
SGP-ECR: 4
BBB-EPP: 3 (+1)
CU-EPP: 3
Volt-G/EFA: 3 (-1)
NSC-EPP: 0 (-1)
+/- vs. 6-7 June 2025
Fieldwork: 20-21 June 2025
➤ europeelects.eu/netherlands
#Netherlands: centre-right New Social Contract (NSC-EPP) reaches a record low of zero seats. This means the party fails to reach the threshold of 0.67% to be represented in parliament.
NSC was founded in late August 2023 by former leader Pieter Omtzigt and was the country's largest party around 19% in Europe Elects' polling average as late as October 2023.
➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands
NSC was founded in late August 2023 by former leader Pieter Omtzigt and was the country's largest party around 19% in Europe Elects' polling average as late as October 2023.
➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands
#Germany, INSA poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 28% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 23%
SPD-S&D: 16%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
LINKE-LEFT: 9%
FDP-RE: 4%
BSW-NI: 4%
+/- vs. 13-16 June 2025
Fieldwork: 16-20 June 2025
Sample size: 1205
➤ europeelects.eu/germany
CDU/CSU-EPP: 28% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 23%
SPD-S&D: 16%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
LINKE-LEFT: 9%
FDP-RE: 4%
BSW-NI: 4%
+/- vs. 13-16 June 2025
Fieldwork: 16-20 June 2025
Sample size: 1205
➤ europeelects.eu/germany
#Denmark, Voxmeter poll:
A-S&D: 22% (-1)
F-G/EFA: 14% (+1)
I-EPP: 12% (-1)
V-RE: 11% (+1)
Æ-ECR: 10%
Ø-LEFT: 7% (-1)
C-EPP: 6%
O-PfE: 6% (+1)
B-RE: 4%
M-RE: 3%
Å→G/EFA: 3%
H-*: 3% (+2)
+/- vs. 09-15 June 2025
Fieldwork: 16-22 June 2025
Sample size: 1052
➤ http://europeelects.eu/denmark
A-S&D: 22% (-1)
F-G/EFA: 14% (+1)
I-EPP: 12% (-1)
V-RE: 11% (+1)
Æ-ECR: 10%
Ø-LEFT: 7% (-1)
C-EPP: 6%
O-PfE: 6% (+1)
B-RE: 4%
M-RE: 3%
Å→G/EFA: 3%
H-*: 3% (+2)
+/- vs. 09-15 June 2025
Fieldwork: 16-22 June 2025
Sample size: 1052
➤ http://europeelects.eu/denmark
#Romania, Ilie Bolojan (PNL-EPP) government investiture vote:
For: 301 ✔️
Against: 9
Abstain: 154
Cabinet: centre-left PSD (S&D), liberal USR (RE), centre-right UDMR (EPP).
Bolojan (PNL-EPP) was appointed PM last week by the newly elected president, Dan (*-RE).
➤ http://europeelects.eu/romani
For: 301 ✔️
Against: 9
Abstain: 154
Cabinet: centre-left PSD (S&D), liberal USR (RE), centre-right UDMR (EPP).
Bolojan (PNL-EPP) was appointed PM last week by the newly elected president, Dan (*-RE).
➤ http://europeelects.eu/romani
Europe Elects
Romania - Europe Elects
National Parliament Composition National Poll Average Polling average for Romania presidential elections This poll average is the result of a smoothing cubic spline fitted to our dataset of…
#Lithuania, Vilmorus poll:
LSDP-S&D: 25%
DSVL-G/EFA: 20% (+4)
TS LKD-EPP: 16% (-2)
NA~S&D: 13% (-6)
LS-RE: 11% (+3)
LVŽS-ECR: 11% (+1)
+/- vs. 17-28 April 2025
Fieldwork: 02-12 May 2025
Sample size: 1,000
➤ europeelects.eu/lithuania
LSDP-S&D: 25%
DSVL-G/EFA: 20% (+4)
TS LKD-EPP: 16% (-2)
NA~S&D: 13% (-6)
LS-RE: 11% (+3)
LVŽS-ECR: 11% (+1)
+/- vs. 17-28 April 2025
Fieldwork: 02-12 May 2025
Sample size: 1,000
➤ europeelects.eu/lithuania
#Lithuania, Spinter tyrimai poll:
LSDP-S&D: 19% (-2)
TS LKD-EPP: 18%
DSVL-G/EFA: 13%
LS-RE: 9%
NA~S&D: 8% (-1)
LVŽS-ECR: 8% (-2)
+/- vs. 18-28 March 2025
Fieldwork: 26 April - 18 May 2025
Sample size: 1,015
➤ europeelects.eu/lithuania
LSDP-S&D: 19% (-2)
TS LKD-EPP: 18%
DSVL-G/EFA: 13%
LS-RE: 9%
NA~S&D: 8% (-1)
LVŽS-ECR: 8% (-2)
+/- vs. 18-28 March 2025
Fieldwork: 26 April - 18 May 2025
Sample size: 1,015
➤ europeelects.eu/lithuania
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creating data analysis and poll aggregation
#Spain, Target Point poll:
PP-EPP: 34% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 26% (-3)
VOX-PfE: 16% (+2)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
Podemos-LEFT: 3% (-1)
SALF-ECR|NI: 2%
+/- vs. 21-23 May 2025
Fieldwork: 18-20 June 2025
Sample size: 1,000
➤ europeelects.eu/spain
PP-EPP: 34% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 26% (-3)
VOX-PfE: 16% (+2)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 7%
Podemos-LEFT: 3% (-1)
SALF-ECR|NI: 2%
+/- vs. 21-23 May 2025
Fieldwork: 18-20 June 2025
Sample size: 1,000
➤ europeelects.eu/spain
#Slovakia, Ipsos poll:
PS-RE: 22%
Smer-NI: 20%
Hlas-NI: 10% (+2)
Republika-ESN: 10% (+1)
S-EPP: 7%
KDH-EPP: 6% (-2)
SaS-ECR: 6% (-1)
D-EPP: 5%
MA-EPP: 4% (-1)
SR~PfE: 3% (-1)
SNS~PfE: 3%
+/- vs. 12-16 May 2025
Fieldwork: 16-19 June 2025
Sample size: 1,004
➤ europeelects.eu/slovakia
PS-RE: 22%
Smer-NI: 20%
Hlas-NI: 10% (+2)
Republika-ESN: 10% (+1)
S-EPP: 7%
KDH-EPP: 6% (-2)
SaS-ECR: 6% (-1)
D-EPP: 5%
MA-EPP: 4% (-1)
SR~PfE: 3% (-1)
SNS~PfE: 3%
+/- vs. 12-16 May 2025
Fieldwork: 16-19 June 2025
Sample size: 1,004
➤ europeelects.eu/slovakia
#Spain, InvyMark poll:
PP-EPP: 37% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 29% (-1)
VOX-PfE: 14%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 5%
Podemos-LEFT: 4%
SALF-ECR|NI: 2%
+/- vs. 09-13 June 2025
Fieldwork: 16-20 June 2025
➤ europeelects.eu/spain
PP-EPP: 37% (+1)
PSOE-S&D: 29% (-1)
VOX-PfE: 14%
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 5%
Podemos-LEFT: 4%
SALF-ECR|NI: 2%
+/- vs. 09-13 June 2025
Fieldwork: 16-20 June 2025
➤ europeelects.eu/spain
#Germany, Forsa poll:
CDU/CSU-EPP: 28%
AfD-ESN: 24% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 14%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
LINKE-LEFT: 11% (+1)
FDP-RE: 3% (-1)
BSW-NI: 3% (-1)
+/- vs. 10-16 June 2025
Fieldwork: 17-20 June 2025
Sample size: 2003
➤ europeelects.eu/germany
CDU/CSU-EPP: 28%
AfD-ESN: 24% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 14%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
LINKE-LEFT: 11% (+1)
FDP-RE: 3% (-1)
BSW-NI: 3% (-1)
+/- vs. 10-16 June 2025
Fieldwork: 17-20 June 2025
Sample size: 2003
➤ europeelects.eu/germany