#Germany: the government of centre-left SPD (S&D), GRÜNE (G/EFA) and liberal FDP (RE) has collapsed due to disagreements on budgetary issues.

Chancellor Olaf Scholz (SPD-S&D) has announced he will seek a confidence motion in January to trigger a snap national parliament election.

➤ https://europeelects.eu/germany

#Romania, BCS poll:

PSD-S&D: 31% (+6)
PNL-EPP: 23% (+2)
AUR-ECR: 18% (+3)
USR-RE: 17% (+5)
UDMR-EPP: 7% (-1)
FD-EPP: 3% (-1)
S.O.S.RO-NI: 3% (-6)
REPER-RE: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. 26–29 September 2024

Fieldwork: 24-28 October 2024
Sample size: 1,150

➤ http://europeelects.eu/romania

#Germany, Ipsos poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 32% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 18%
SPD-S&D: 15%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11%
BSW-NI: 8%
FDP-RE: 5% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3%
FW-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 2-4 October 2024

Fieldwork: 1-2 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, Forsa poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 32% (-1)
SPD-S&D: 17% (+1)
AfD-ESN: 17% (+1)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11% (+1)
BSW-NI: 6%
FDP-RE: 3%
LINKE-LEFT: 3%

+/- vs. 29 October-4 November 2024

Fieldwork: 7 November 2024
Sample size: 1,181

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Germany, Infratest dimap poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 34%
AfD-ESN: 18% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 16%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12% (+1)
BSW-NI: 6%
FDP-RE: 5% (+1)

+/- vs. 28-30 October 2024

Fieldwork: 7 November 2024
Sample size: 1,065

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

#Estonia, Norstat poll:

I-EPP: 33% (+2)
RE-RE: 17% (+1)
SDE-S&D: 13%
EKRE-PfE: 13% (+1)
KE-RE|ECR: 12% (-2)
PP→EPP: 6% (+1)
E200→EPP: 4%
EER-G/EFA: 2% (+1)
ERK~ECR: 1%
KOOS-*: 1%

+/- vs. 21-28 October 2024

Fieldwork: 28 October-3 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ http://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Estonia, Turu-uuringute poll:

I-EPP: 25% (-2)
RE-RE: 18%
SDE-S&D: 16%
KE-RE|ECR: 14% (+5)
EKRE-PfE: 10% (-1)
E200→EPP: 6% (+2)
PP→EPP: 6%
KOOS-*: 2% (-1)
EER-G/EFA: 1%
ERK~ECR: 1% (-1)
EÜVP-LEFT: 0%

+/- vs. 1-10 October 2024

Fieldwork: 24-30 October 2024
Sample size: 894

➤ http://europeelects.eu/estonia

#Finland, Taloustutkimus poll:

SDP-S&D: 24% (+2)
Kok.-EPP: 19% (-1)
PS-ECR: 16% (-1)
Kesk.-RE: 13%
Vas.-LEFT: 9%
Vihr.-G/EFA: 8%
SFP-RE: 4%
KD-EPP: 4%
Liik.-NI: 1%

+/- vs. 4 September-1 October

Fieldwork: 7 October-5 November
Sample size: 2,383

➤ http://europeelects.eu/finland

#Germany, Forschungsgruppe Wahlen poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 33% (+2)
AfD-ESN: 18%
SPD-S&D: 16%
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 12% (+1)
BSW-NI: 6% (-2)
LINKE-LEFT: 4%
FDP-RE: 3%

+/- vs. 15-17 October 2024

Fieldwork: 5-7 November 2024
Sample size: 1,231

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

Türkiye, HBS poll:

CHP-S&D: 32% (-2)
AKP~NI: 29% (+1)
DEM-S&D: 10%
MHP~NI: 9% (-2)
YRP-*: 7% (+1)
İYİ~RE: 6% (+1)
ZP-*: 4% (+1)
TİP-*: 1% (-1)

+/- vs. October 2024

Fieldwork: 1-3 November 2024
Sample size: 6,100

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 32%
AfD-ESN: 19% (+1)
SPD-S&D: 15% (-0.5)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 10% (-0.5)
BSW-NI: 7% (-1)
FDP-RE: 4% (-0.5)
LINKE-LEFT: 4% (+0.5)

+/- vs. 1-4 November 2024

Fieldwork: 7-8 November 2024
Sample size: 1,065

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany

Türkiye, Özdemir poll:

CHP-S&D: 31% (+1)
AKP~NI: 27% (+1)
DEM-S&D: 11% (-1)
MHP~NI: 9% (-1)
YRP-*: 6% (-1)
İYİ~RE: 5% (-1)
ZP-*: 4% (+1)
AP-*: 2% (new)
TİP-*: 1%

+/- vs. 22-27 September 2024

Fieldwork: 30 October-3 November 2024
Sample size: 2,007

➤ https://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

Türkiye, Özdemir poll:

Presidential election (scenario: open-ended question with multiple CHP (S&D) candidates)

Erdoğan (AKP~NI): 36%
Yavaş (CHP-S&D): 31% (+1)
İmamoğlu (CHP-S&D): 24%
Özel (CHP-S&D): 7% (-1)

+/- vs. 22-27 September 2024

Fieldwork: 30 October-3 November 2024
Sample size: 2,007

➤ http://europeelects.eu/turkiye
#Turkey

#Slovakia, Ipsos poll:

PS-RE: 23% (+1)
Smer-NI: 22% (-4)
Hlas-NI: 13% (+1)
Republika-ESN: 8% (+1)
KDH-EPP: 7% (+1)
SaS-ECR: 6% (-1)
D-EPP: 4% (-1)
MA-EPP: 4% (-1)
S-EPP: 4% (n.a.)
SR~PfE: 3% (+1)
SNS~PfE: 2% (-1)

+/- vs. 6-10 September 2024

Fieldwork: 27 October - 1 November 2024
Sample size: 1,003

➤ https://europeelects.eu/slovakia/

#Netherlands, Peil poll:

Seat projection

PVV-PfE: 38 (+1)
GL/PvdA-G/EFA|S&D: 25 (-1)
VVD-RE: 19 (-1)
CDA-EPP: 13
D66-RE: 11
BBB-EPP: 7
SP~LEFT: 6
FvD-ESN: 5 (+1)
NSC-EPP: 4
PvdD-LEFT: 4
Volt-G/EFA: 4
CU-EPP: 4
DENK-*: 4
SGP-ECR: 4
JA21-ECR: 2

+/- vs. 11-12 October 2024

Fieldwork: 8-9 November 2024
Sample size: N/A

➤ https://europeelects.eu/netherlands

#Croatia, Promocija Plus poll:

HDZ-EPP: 33%
SDP-S&D: 27% (+1)
Možemo!-G/EFA: 11% (+1)
Most→ECR: 8% (+1)
DP-ECR: 4% (-1)
Centar-RE: 2% (+1)
DOMiNO-ECR: 2%
...

+/- vs. 1-4 October 2024

Fieldwork: 4-7 November 2024
Sample size: 1,300

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Croatia, Ipsos poll:

Presidential run-off election (different scenarios)

Milanović (*-S&D): 51% (+2)
Primorac (*-EPP): 36% (-4)

Milanović (*-S&D): 50% (n.a.)
Selak-Raspudić (*): 29% (n.a.)

Selak-Raspudić (*): 38% (n.a.)
Primorac (*-EPP): 35% (n.a.)

+/- vs. 1-3 August 2024

Fieldwork: 1-22 October 2024
Sample size: 980

➤ https://europeelects.eu/croatia/

#Denmark, Voxmeter poll:

A-S&D: 19% (-1)
F-G/EFA: 16% (-1)
I-EPP: 14% (+1)
Æ-ECR: 11%
V-RE: 10% (-1)
Ø-LEFT: 7% (+1)
C-EPP: 5%
B-RE: 5% (+1)
O-PfE: 4% (-1)
M-RE: 4% (+1)
Å→G/EFA: 3%

+/- vs. 28 October-3 November 2024

Fieldwork: 4-10 November 2024
Sample size: 1,002

➤ https://europeelects.eu/denmark

#Spain, Hamalgama Métrica poll:

PP-EPP: 35%
PSOE-S&D: 29%
VOX-PfE: 13% (+2)
Sumar-LEFT|G/EFA: 6% (-1)
Podemos-LEFT: 4% (+1)
Junts-NI: 2%
ERC-G/EFA: 2%
SALF-NI: 3% (-1)
EH Bildu-LEFT: 1% (-1)
PNV-RE: 1%
...

+/- vs. 8-11 October 2024

Fieldwork: 5-8 November 2024
Sample size: 1,000

➤ https://europeelects.eu/spain

#Germany, INSA poll:

CDU/CSU-EPP: 32.5% (+0.5)
AfD-ESN: 19.5% (+0.5)
SPD-S&D: 15.5% (+0.5)
GRÜNE-G/EFA: 11.5% (+1.5)
BSW-NI: 7%
FDP-RE: 5% (+1)
LINKE-LEFT: 3.5% (-0.5)

+/- vs. 7-8 November 2024

Fieldwork: 8-11 November 2024
Sample size: 3,009

➤ http://europeelects.eu/germany