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#Syria : Current Dynamics and Concerns

Introduction
Recent speculations suggest that the U.S. may be encouraging rebels to initiate military operations against both Assad’s forces and Iran in Syria. In response, Russia has conducted airstrikes as a warning to assert its presence. However, these actions reveal a level of weakness; a truly strong Russia would not need to send such messages.

Shifts in Military Strategy
Assad's forces have recently halted combing operations in the desert, redirecting reinforcements to northern Syria, particularly the Tel Rifaat region, supported by the 25th Division. This strategic shift highlights the growing internal tensions within the regime.

Internal Power Struggles
Within Assad's areas of control, significant friction exists between two factions: the Iranian wing and the Alawite wing. The latter, which resents Iranian influence, is closely aligned with Russia and cooperates with Tel Aviv while attempting to suppress any public dissent regarding Iran.

Public Sentiment
Public sentiment is divided. Some individuals, particularly the elderly and former Baathists, cling to the belief that Iran is defending Gaza and Lebanon. In contrast, others hope for Israeli intervention in Syria to liberate them from both the regime and Iranian influence, especially in the capital and southern regions.

Israeli Stance
Tel Aviv has made it clear through its messaging and military actions that its focus is on the Iranian presence in Syria rather than Assad’s regime. While Assad’s factions recognize this reality, they fear that Israel might realize the challenges of eliminating Iranian influence within the government. This could lead to military action against Assad’s forces in the north or south.

Broader Implications
Russia shares similar concerns about the potential for the U.S. to allow Ukraine to pressure Russian interests in Syria, as highlighted in recent statements. Additionally, the regime is anxious about failing to distance Iran from Syria. After years of relative stability due to regional normalization of relations, Assad’s regime now faces genuine fears of potential collapse.

Conclusion
As the situation evolves, the interplay of regional and international dynamics will play a critical role in shaping the future of Syria. The Assad regime's vulnerabilities are becoming increasingly apparent, raising questions about its long-term viability.

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321 viewsOct 15 at 16:15

#Syria : Current Dynamics and Concerns

Introduction
Recent speculations suggest that the U.S. may be encouraging rebels to initiate military operations against both Assad’s forces and Iran in Syria. In response, Russia has conducted airstrikes as a warning to assert its presence. However, these actions reveal a level of weakness; a truly strong Russia would not need to send such messages.

Shifts in Military Strategy
Assad's forces have recently halted combing operations in the desert, redirecting reinforcements to northern Syria, particularly the Tel Rifaat region, supported by the 25th Division. This strategic shift highlights the growing internal tensions within the regime.

Internal Power Struggles
Within Assad's areas of control, significant friction exists between two factions: the Iranian wing and the Alawite wing. The latter, which resents Iranian influence, is closely aligned with Russia and cooperates with Tel Aviv while attempting to suppress any public dissent regarding Iran.

Public Sentiment
Public sentiment is divided. Some individuals, particularly the elderly and former Baathists, cling to the belief that Iran is defending Gaza and Lebanon. In contrast, others hope for Israeli intervention in Syria to liberate them from both the regime and Iranian influence, especially in the capital and southern regions.

Israeli Stance
Tel Aviv has made it clear through its messaging and military actions that its focus is on the Iranian presence in Syria rather than Assad’s regime. While Assad’s factions recognize this reality, they fear that Israel might realize the challenges of eliminating Iranian influence within the government. This could lead to military action against Assad’s forces in the north or south.

Broader Implications
Russia shares similar concerns about the potential for the U.S. to allow Ukraine to pressure Russian interests in Syria, as highlighted in recent statements. Additionally, the regime is anxious about failing to distance Iran from Syria. After years of relative stability due to regional normalization of relations, Assad’s regime now faces genuine fears of potential collapse.

Conclusion
As the situation evolves, the interplay of regional and international dynamics will play a critical role in shaping the future of Syria. The Assad regime's vulnerabilities are becoming increasingly apparent, raising questions about its long-term viability.

https://www.tgoop.com/OGNEnglish

BY OGN