LESSWRONGCN Telegram 40
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如果城市防洪做的很好,那么人们会倾向于洪水根本不会发生,到了偶然发生特大洪水时,人们就会发现他们因为自信而没买保险。

记忆从来不是统计历史概率的好办法,更别想着去预测未来了。



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Part A, Availability:
如果城市防洪做的很好,那么人们会倾向于洪水根本不会发生,到了偶然发生特大洪水时,人们就会发现他们因为自信而没买保险。

记忆从来不是统计历史概率的好办法,更别想着去预测未来了。

BY 理性之道、Less Wrong,群星和别的什么


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Ng Man-ho, a 27-year-old computer technician, was convicted last month of seven counts of incitement charges after he made use of the 100,000-member Chinese-language channel that he runs and manages to post "seditious messages," which had been shut down since August 2020. In handing down the sentence yesterday, deputy judge Peter Hui Shiu-keung of the district court said that even if Ng did not post the messages, he cannot shirk responsibility as the owner and administrator of such a big group for allowing these messages that incite illegal behaviors to exist. Although some crypto traders have moved toward screaming as a coping mechanism, several mental health experts call this therapy a pseudoscience. The crypto community finds its way to engage in one or the other way and share its feelings with other fellow members. Just at this time, Bitcoin and the broader crypto market have dropped to new 2022 lows. The Bitcoin price has tanked 10 percent dropping to $20,000. On the other hand, the altcoin space is witnessing even more brutal correction. Bitcoin has dropped nearly 60 percent year-to-date and more than 70 percent since its all-time high in November 2021. Ng, who had pleaded not guilty to all charges, had been detained for more than 20 months. His channel was said to have contained around 120 messages and photos that incited others to vandalise pro-government shops and commit criminal damage targeting police stations.
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